According to Israeli analysts, the U.S. would only intervene openly if its forces are secured, Iran’s missile stockpile is weakened, and China or Russia stay out.
Though the U.S. appears distant in the Israel-Iran conflict, its covert actions reveal otherwise.
From drones to cyber operations, America has quietly supported Israel under a strategy of deniability. “A campaign that feels unilateral may, in fact, be deeply joint,” the report states.
President Trump’s Iran policy enabled Israel by dismantling the 2015 nuclear deal. Under President Biden, support became more discreet. While Washington offered public reassurance, it delayed military aid and quietly nudged regional allies to act cautiously.
“Public distance preserves private leverage,” the article notes, as the U.S. maintains intelligence sharing and surveillance. Tehran’s threat to American troops in the Middle East informs this restraint.
According to Israeli analysts, the U.S. would only intervene openly if its forces are secured, Iran’s missile stockpile is weakened, and China or Russia stay out. For now, the U.S. enables the war’s direction, hoping to emerge later “not as a belligerent, but as a broker of calm.”