Thousands of people have bet that Jesus Christ will make his long-awaited return to Earth and that the second coming will be here before the end of 2025
BITPINAS
On the decentralized betting platform Polymarket, a prediction asking whether Jesus Christ will return in 2025 has attracted over $763,000 in trading volume, with participants currently pricing in just a 2% probability of the Second Coming before the year ends.
The prediction, titled “Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?”, will resolve to “Yes” only if the Second Coming occurs by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2025.
- According to Polymarket, resolution will be based on “a consensus of credible sources,” though what qualifies as “credible” remains undefined. If not, the market resolves to “No.”
- The odds have steadily declined since peaking at around 3.3% in May. As of mid-July, they stand at 2%, down 1 percentage point from the previous week.
The Reactions
The market has drawn both skeptical bettors and believers.
- One user wrote, “I bought $1 of Yes for the culture. Just in case he comes back, I can say I believed.”
- Another noted, “If Christ returns, the debt you take for this bet doesn’t matter. A double whammy.”
- Some posters speculated that global instability may be fueling renewed religious sentiment. “Given the convergence of global crises… many believers see 2025 as a symbolic turning point,” one comment read.
- Others were quick to mock the idea. “If you vote yes, what is that money gonna do for you in the end times?” a user asked.
This is not the first unconventional market to gain traction on Polymarket. Parallel listings speculate on topics such as alien disclosure (6% chance of U.S. confirmation in 2025) and political outcomes like Donald Trump resigning (4%).
Testing Boundaries
Despite its irreverence, the “Jesus market” highlights how blockchain-based prediction markets are testing the boundaries of what people are willing to speculate. It combined faith, finance, and internet culture in a single tradeable instrument.